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pre-emptive petition: the forthcoming war in iran

gareth williams | 05.04.2005 16:33 | Anti-militarism | Education | World

Whoever controls the past gains liberties over the future - Groucho Marx


It is becoming clear through various intelligence sources that the U.S (and possibly British) troops are preparing for the invasion and occupation of Iran. We must gather the various forces of the anti-war movement now, whilst the Iranian war gathers in speculation, not coercion, or media-washing propaganda. The democratic movement has characteristically been challenging the past, and present, but has strayed from the defining achievement of people’s lives: the future. This avenue has proved to lack any purpose; it is confronted by fear, anger, and silence. What must become our focus is the future events and their accurate prediction. War in Iran will settle within Bush’s premiership, possibly beginning within the next few months, and the Americans may not fight alone. These are the features, the essence will remain unchanged; unlike the desert lands of Iran, for they will become defecated like those of their neighbour’s. The month may be June, July, possibly August, and the numbers may be two, three hundred thousand dead, but the essential reflection bore in these figures is cast in the discrepancies of the last war. Over 300 billion was estimated in the destruction of Iraq, and a predicted 20 million will be delivered to rebuild it.

“The peoples could only forget their past at the cost of forfeiting their future.” ... Karl Marx
"The social revolution of the nineteenth century cannot draw its poetry from
the past but only from the future." ... Karl Marx

Scott Ritter interviewed by Charles Goyette.

"The President has signed off on military preparation that will have
the U.S. ready to attack Iran via massive aerial bombardment in June

The initial point of direct action should evolve from the prediction of future events. I believe that Iran will be in some way or another, invaded and conquered after the May election. Once Blair steps back into the security net, the Hawks will mobilise their strategic convoys from Caspian and Persian regions, and the world with be thrown again, and increasingly, into conflict. Money has no allies in a resource war. This we must convey to any possible support that we have the power to build on from the wake of the last conquest. Iraq is dead wood, Iran is fertile soil. We must use this opportunity for expansive and extensive action. I am contacting any available source in my locality. I am tentative about my (potential) progress, but I have dug up a lot of shit, and it's about time that it hit the fan. Agree?

I plan to network increasingly, and to raise this personally once the electioneering takes place, and within the vacuum of political serenity that characterises the post-election party and recuperation. I plan to contact Student Unions, Anti-war groups, veteran groups, religious groups, socialist parties, environmental groups; all local to my region. In order to gather further support I suggest a 'pre-emptive petition', as the general public care little for the past or the present as much as they tacitly plan, cherish, and relish in their (potential) to construct the future. Iraq is quite literally the newspapers that wrap and conceal today's chips with yesterdays news. And 'people' are engaged with both in the same consensual indifference. The future, however if only vaguely important, bears some resonance on the physical lives that they lead, and the emotional attachments that they have made. We must implicitly reveal and contextualise this emotive purpose within the bed of political regression that is currently jeopardising the totality of harmonious inter-dependence, which has been somewhat carved by libertarian movements. It is our duty to rid ourselves of the swastika and grow into Allied Citizenship.


Is Nostrodameian prediction a modern viability?

‘This author would suggest that, after finishing off Saddam Hussein, the oil coup will then set its sites on Iran. We can say with certainty that the oil coup will want to have both these countries firmly in control before the OPEC crossover event.’

Dale Allen Pfeiffer, Geologist and author, Jan 2002

When my discoveries of this tract were made, I myself questioned their source, possible agenda, and scientific validity. However, I also questioned the powers of prediction even to the degree of a few years. After all, who knows what fate we hold?

full article

All experts agree that the Middle East is the largest untapped resource in the oil game. Large fields (500 million barrels plus) are appearing in this region more frequently than any other, and the players predict more to be discovered. Countries most affected by this predicament are Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia. Take the last two and you have some of the most concentrated wealth states on the entire planet. Black gold has given these desert lands an urbanite gloss. Their hands are deeply embedded in U.S dollars, and their share of the economy nears 5%. It doesn’t sound like much but the unexpected disappearance of this can cripple even the American economy. In fact, the economy is not as stable as it may appear to mere minions like us.

‘This year’s U.S. trade deficit is $450 billion. The federal budget deficit is $455 billion. The two add up to 11% of U.S. G.D.P. This is no sign of strength. It is a sign of WEAKNESS.’

Peter Hudis, Historian and economist for News and Letters, from Nov 2003 edition. NB. This deficit has trebled in the last two years.

The facts are:
Abiotic theory does not hold water whichever way you approach it. The theory is based on material which has become successively outdated. It is like NASA suddenly employing general relativity to their anti-matter testing, because of some Einsteinian arrogance.
The powers that be suspect this, they have resources to prove it, and they have test results, data, and empirical evidence for this to encroach into their thought patterns (and nightmares).
The oil game has become volatile. Based on production and regulation, this has always been a messy affair. Hundreds of thousands of lives have been lost, several rulers overthrown (whether democratically elected or not), and resources changing hands. For a (random) summary see:,,, NB. For a chronology look at a history book, look at Bowling for Columbine, The Revolution Will Not Be Televised. All sources contain just a few of the past attempts at curve ball.
Oil is an indispensable resource. And I don’t mean in the way that your coffee in the morning is an ‘indispensable’ resource. Oil fuels industry, power stations, communication networks, and transport to name but a few. I think that we’d all agree that these things are also indispensable.
Without these things the world would become catapulted into chaos. Civil strife, war, destitution, disease, famine, land grab, looting, and other unpleasantness would become rife.
The state systems of every country affected (i.e. non-ennuit, non-localised, non-survivalist, non-tribal), would be dissolved and powerless.
The population would be dramatically reduced, leaving at least 2/3s desperately perishable.
The powers that be suspect this, and are making no plans for prevention.

This may seem like another’s cause, a question of politics, and off our agenda. This is what the politicians subtly convey in the unmediated press conferences and annual meetings. Whilst barbing on about the terrorist threat they thread into the polemic a contradictory affirmation. Part of the deal with Iraq was the based conviction that there were links with Al Q’aeda. Again, read an historical document of your choice and this will be revealed to be anything from a fabrication to a misleading exaggeration. Several others of these fabrications have misled us into a distraction. Tear back the layers of spin, hypocrisy, mythology, and what you get are the bones of this war on terror; the continuous war of Orwellian scripture. Compare the nations and you find that terrorist connections are far stronger in Saudi Arabia than anywhere in the region. 15 out of the 19 hijackers were Saudi. binLaden group, the financiers of terrorist exploits are Saudi. The Arabians have the ability to develop Uranium. This was acquired through American defence contractors. Human Rights protestors and organisations place Saudi Arabia far higher in the wanted list than both Iran and Iraq. We have only two admissions to make; that the coalition is receiving contrasting, illegitimate evidence to that which can be found from other sources, or that it’s complicit in warping the information to allow for pre-emptive oil coups.

June 2001 - German intelligence, the BND, warns the CIA and Israel that Middle Eastern terrorists are "planning to hijack commercial aircraft to use as weapons to attack important symbols of American and Israeli culture." [Source: Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, September 14, 2001.]

August 2001 - The FBI arrests an Islamic militant linked to bin Laden in Boston. French intelligence sources confirm that the man is a key member of bin Laden’s network and the FBI learns that he has been taking flying lessons. At the time of his arrest the man is in possession of technical information on Boeing aircraft and flight manuals. [Source: Reuters, September 13.]

Summer 2001 - Russian intelligence notifies the CIA that 25 terrorist pilots have been specifically training for suicide missions. This is reported in the Russian press and news stories are translated for FTW by a retired CIA officer.
August/September, 2001 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average drops nearly 900 points in the three weeks prior to the attack. A major stock market crash is imminent.

Sept. 3-10, 2001 - MS-NBC reports on September 16 that a caller to a Cayman Islands radio talk show gave several warnings of an imminent attack on the U.S. by bin Laden in the week prior to 9/11.

September 6-7, 2001 - 4,744 put options (a speculation that the stock will go down) are purchased on United Air Lines stock as opposed to only 396 call options (speculation that the stock will go up). This is a dramatic and abnormal increase in sales of put options. Many of the UAL puts are purchased through Deutschebank/AB Brown, a firm managed until 1998 by the current Executive Director of the CIA, A.B. "Buzzy" Krongard. [Source: The Herzliyya International Policy Institute for Counterterrorism,, September 21; The New York Times; The Wall Street Journal.]

It has been documented that the CIA, the Israeli Mossad and many other intelligence agencies monitor stock trading in real time using highly advanced programs reported to be descended from Promis software. This is to alert national intelligence services of just such kinds of attacks. Promis was reported, as recently as June, 2001 to be in Osama bin Laden’s possession and, as a result of recent stories by FOX, both the FBI and the Justice Department have confirmed its use for U.S. intelligence gathering through at least this summer. This would confirm that CIA had additional advance warning of imminent attacks. [Sources: The Washington Times,  June 15, 2001; FOX News, October 16, 2001; FTW, October  26, 2001, -
magic_carpet.html; FTW, Vol. IV, No.6, Sept. 18, 2001 -; FTW, Vol. 3, No 7, 9/30/00 -

NB. Promis software is a set of programs designed in the 80s to allow databases and financial records to interact on dynamic systems. This allows authorities to track suspected criminals/terrorists through their financial activities. Originally developed for simulative purposes; to predict the behaviour of domestic and foreign economies, the software was leased into public organizations and government, duplicated, and stranded in a bloody court case that leaked into the early 90s. This software would have most likely been applicable to scanning and tracking the rich terror students spending their vast pay checks in the months before the attacks on the towers, the pentagon, Buffalo airport, and the White House. It is known that bin Laden has a cold war version of this software and that he used it to threaten the President in his Jet. The report came several days after the attacks, from the Presidential aide Carl Rove, who insinuated that this dial-up operation would allow for a tracking of the caller, in much the fashion that a static IP address can be traced to a physical location.

"I have no way of knowing whether any Promis-related base has dial-up access to Air Force One. But if that happens, and if you have Promis, it’s a straightforward thing to do. But one would still need to have access to the targeting computer.

September 11, 2001, For 35 minutes, from 8:15 AM until 9:05 AM, with it widely known within the FAA and the military that four planes have been simultaneously hijacked and taken off course, no one notifies the President of the United States. It is not until 9:30 that any Air Force planes are scrambled to intercept, but by then it is too late. This means that the National Command Authority waited for 75 minutes before scrambling aircraft, even though it was known that four simultaneous hijackings had occurred - an event that has never happened in history. [Sources: CNN, ABC, MS-NBC, The Los Angeles Times, The New York Times.]

So are the key players in the apocalyptic concerto simply stupid. Or are they to be accused of clumsily plotting the archetype of ironic clause? If they are either or both then they must be replaced with more responsible and worldly systems and individuals. Due to the amount of conviction, they cannot be neither, for the game has become as predictable as to draw events up to three years prior to their placement. In the upper echelons of geo-politics this is often referred to as ‘playing ball’. In fact, this is not the first time this play has been devised. In the early 70s when the Middle East was in its infancy as a fertile hydrocarbon plot, the Pentagon drew up ‘war game’ scenarios to secure the area and set up il facto governments in Iran, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, but not Saudi Arabia. This is a game where there can be two teams. On the pitch things can be different to in the dressing room. Iraq was a failure in ’91, and will always be remembered with burning oil fields; acts that will symbolize the fight between the offence and defence. Aware of their inferiority the insurgents of the 90s set fire to their trump card, bit off their noses to spite their face, and sacrificed the economic muscle of their land. The message is clear. If we cannot have it, neither can you. Whether their cause is just or not, whether their information and belief systems are right or wrong is not the issue. There remains a far greater concern on the horizon, a bigger challenge in the East than that posed by militancy. The threat of hydrocarbon diminution equals only that of its emission. One path leads to the past and one to the future, clearly the latter remains the only plausible escape. It is up to this generation to make fuel alternatives the sole procurer of a sustainable future. The hydrocarbon age is set to end for at least a few thousand years, let’s not go down with it.⊂=Background%20to%20the%20crisis
By Fred Pearce New Scientist 29/01/2003
Iraq has the second largest proven reserves of oil in the world, behind only Saudi Arabia. 112 billion barrels lie below the country's desert sands, together with another probable 220 billion barrels of unproven reserves. What's more, the US Department of Energy says, "Iraq's true resource potential may be far greater, as the country is relatively unexplored due to years of war and sanctions."
This, plus the fact that "Iraq's oil production costs are among the lowest in the world, makes it a highly attractive oil prospect," says the department's latest country analysis. No wonder many critics believe that the campaign to topple Saddam Hussein is really a battle for Iraq's oil.

As we can see, behind Iraq lay the sovereign nations of Iran, Kuwait, and UAE. We have discussed Saudi Arabia, and it should be clear as to why US forces aren’t directed at this region. They may seem hapless but their actions are planned and organized in the high spec war rooms at the Pentagon. Mark my word that the project will not end in Iraq, and it is unlikely to end in Iran. Oil underpins the American Way of Life, and in the nauseating vortex that is American political economy, this isn’t something to be compromised.

See for the general discussion and a focused look at Saudi Arabia’s part.

Glancing at this chart we can start to comprehend why I have often referred to it as a game. Supposing that China decides that 50 million car owners added per year, and numerous factories installed across the globe, need more than 2% of the world’s oil. Russia’s trade, though welcome, is not reaching the bar. Venezuela’s oil is comparatively substantial and largely exported, and as from this year it will be sold for Yen and not dollar. Canada (though not on the chart) has just less than 1% of the discovered oil, and it too is trading for Yen. The US contains a meagre amount for the portion it consumes. The average American (civil and industry) guzzling 11 ½ barrels per day. To hold these levels it has strangled trade regulations and barriers on Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Nigeria, Libya, and most of the North African region. Russia’s oil is also pouring into the pipelines, invariably at a slower rate than ’89. The Saudis have become embalmed in the benefits of Yankee oil money, and have established companies to rival those that exist in the states. Again, the Saudis bargain the Imperial power with massive export rates and prices in order to avoid any coups or trade sanctions. Offering the simplistic hypotheses that this chart reflects all of the nations involved (let’s not forget Costa Rica, Iceland, and other coalition of the willing nations), we can derive two powers to emerge, and eventually counter-pose. China is younger brother - energetic, dynamic, rigorous, and driven. America is the older brother – lethargic, reflective, anxious, and slightly scornful of his youthful competitor. Critical, suspicious, and ultimately envious of his counterpart, he chooses, initially at least, not to directly embark in confrontation, but to reassert his own position. Stabilising himself he parts only an arrogant glance at China’s friendship with his old guard. With Venezuela and Canada betraying his unspoken bond he switches his desperate attentions towards his East, and closer to China’s circle. Contracting the former lands of the Red Union enemy he brushes his swaggering jowls at the young fiend. Mocking the primitive roots of its development he casts China’s jab further towards his own shores. Crossing each other’s broad lunge brings his old grey eyes over the small glimmering pupils in the Xiang. He can now search what he feels is his apprentice. In his stare he has perfected the visibility of psyche substantia. In his intense shadow China soon receives the affections of other ancients, adding to the crucible of knowledge imparted through its long history. A bridge of broad swords are drawn across the Andes and the Himalayas, the Atlantic and the Caspian, the Mediterranean and the Gulf until the steely blades cross with enormous friction, and a slow rain of embers litter the distant grounds.

There is a time for departure even when there's no certain place to go.
- Tennessee Williams. American playwright. 1911-1983

In February, Undersecretary of State John Bolton told Israeli officials that after defeating Iraq, the United States would "deal with" Iran, Syria, and North Korea. Meanwhile, neoconservative journalists have been channelling the administration's thinking. Late last month, The Weekly Standard's Jeffrey Bell reported that the administration has in mind a "world war between the United States and a political wing of Islamic fundamentalism ... a war of such reach and magnitude [that] the invasion of Iraq, or the capture of top al Qaeda commanders, should be seen as tactical events in a series of moves and countermoves stretching well into the future."

Without a hostile Iraq towering over it, Jordan's pro-Western Hashemite monarchy would likely come into full bloom. Syria would be no more than a pale reminder of the bad old days. (If they made trouble, a U.S. invasion would take care of them, too.) And to the tiny Gulf emirates making hesitant steps toward democratisation, the corrupt regimes of Saudi Arabia and Egypt would no longer look like examples of stability and strength in a benighted region, but holdouts against the democratic tide. Once the dust settles, we could decide whether to ignore them as harmless throwbacks to the bad old days or deal with them, too. We'd be in a much stronger position to do so since we'd no longer require their friendship to help us manage ugly regimes in Iraq, Iran, and Syria.

The short term stability supplied by a strong economy can only be a safeguard for the long term solution of the democratic state. Without politically elected leadership rogue states can bargain through their economic trade relations, however, once these have become expired (or in this case insubstantial) then the moral economy becomes the forefront. Compared to the police states of Iraq and future Iran, the Saudis and their neighbours would be aligned into the moral crusade tactics of the present administration.

Will this process differ under a different government? This is unlikely, as the US dollar has become entirely dependant on its imperial militantism overseas. Pulling out of its global crusade would undoubtedly result in massive overhauls of the domestic deficit. Massive job cuts, huge tax increases, and a resultant crash would most likely occur from such action. The administration have tied themselves, their country, and the entire planet in “a war that will rage on”, “a war that will not end in our lifetime”, “a war that may change the course of human history”

- various Cheney threats

gareth williams
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