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The UK elections: a very British fraud

cailean bochanan | 09.05.2010 15:56

A brief examination of electoral fraud in Britain

Thursday’s election has been described as a shambles, a complete farce which shames the nation, after scenes of thousands being turned away from polling stations without being able to vote. Is this just another instance of chaotic Britain muddling along, like Dad’s Army, or is there a more sinister element, of systemic fraud? That malpractice had been at play in previous elections, in 2005, the Scottish elections of 2007 and the infamous Glasgow North East by-election last year, was more than evident. My view was that it could become the central focus of this election rather than the pseudo-conflict between three City-backed politicos.


This view seemed to be confirmed when high-profile candidate George Galloway MP of the leftist Respect party made the following sensational revelations:

“Respect has a substantial dossier on the current abuse and the principal people involved in this attempted fraud. George Galloway will name these people and the Respect bus will drive to their addresses where reporters and photographers will have the opportunity to question the people Galloway has named.”

We had also had the comments of Martin Bell, the conscience of Britain, the White Knight who had vanquished the corrupt Tory, Neil Hamilton:

“There is actually a possibility that the result of the election could be decided by electoral fraud. That’s pretty grim.”

With these two leading the charge there was a real possibility that light would be cast on the dark recesses of British political life.

But this is Britain. On the morning of the 7th Galloway made this remarkable statement to the press:

“What we’ve done in these three cases is to point out the huge increase in numbers of people suddenly registering at their addresses in the space of a few days. We’ve never said it is voter fraud.”

Had someone has a word with George or was he just the conductor whereby the lightning of this issue was safely lead to earth? The rest is silence, a silence unlikely to be broken by a report from electoral observers from Europe and commonwealth countries to come out in two months time.

And so the election remains just a shambles, nothing more. There is, of course, to be a thorough investigation to make sure nothing of the like occurs ever again.

The absence of fraud leaves us with a very unconvincing narrative for the course this election. What was the nth rerun of the old firm five yearly fixture had been had been dramatically enlivened by the performance of Nick Clegg , leader of the Liberal-Democrat party, in the TV debates. As a result there was a surge of enthusiasm for Clegg, suddenly a contender, reflected in a huge increase in registrations to vote. But these votes didn’t go to Clegg. The last pre-election poll showed him kneck and kneck with New Labour with both trailing the Tories. The “strange’ exit polls (as noted by Vince Cable), however, suddenly revealed a drop in the Lib Dem vote, which was confirmed in the actual results, as reported. So Clegg’s TV successes only inspired people to register and vote for his opponents. Either the British people are perverse or this electoral process was.

The growing corruption of the British electoral process is well documented and doesn’t require anything additional from conspiracy theorists such as myself. Listen to Richard Mawley QC, The judge presiding over a case of vote-rigging in Birmingham in June 2004:

“The system is wide open to fraud and any would-be political fraudster knows that”. Citing evidence of “massive, systematic and organised fraud”, Judge Mawley said the system was “hopelessly insecure” and sent a message to those that claimed that the current postal voting system was working, adding: “Anybody who has sat through the case I have just tried and listened to evidence of electoral fraud that would disgrace a banana republic would find this statement surprising.”

“The best and simplest way to procure false votes is to invent false voters – “ghosts”, as they are known in the trade” reports Nick Davies in a highly recommended 2001 Guardian article which exposed the various modalities of UK electoral fraud. He elaborates:

“The real joy of raising electoral ghosts is that there are no ghostbusters: there is no system for checking the accuracy of the electoral register. Riggers can find a derelict building, or add a couple of extra houses to a street, or use the address of a hostel or anywhere else with a transitory population, and simply bung in names. If they are unlucky or particularly clumsy, and happen to catch the eye of an electoral registration officer, the police may be called. But, under normal circumstances, the paperwork is routinely processed straight on to the register with no attempt at checking.”

He goes on to discuss widespread techniques such as the “Tipp-Ex trick” and “granny farming”. But this was 2001: he is describing the process in its infancy, as it were, before New Labour really systematised fraud by introducing postal votes for all, proxy votes for all and making it easier to add names to the electoral register. I don’t intend to give a comprehensive treatise on our fraudulent practices: I limit myself to providing these highlighted links for those of you who wish to do some further study. And very interesting it is too.

Electoral fraud in the UK is an open secret, the elephant in the room(another one!) but nothing ever happens about it. We have “independent “ bodies like the shadowy “Electoral Commission” making recommendation which are ignored. In fact, there are bodies everywhere and skeletons falling out of cupboards but we Brits are just too polite to notice. The police are forever following up allegations; there have been fifty in the last week. But nothing happens.

Trying to divert criticism from itself, Jenny Watson of the Electoral Commission blamed Britain’s “Victorian” electoral system. I’ve never heard it called that before; in any case, it’s much more like the notorious 18th century system of rotten burghs. We also hear comparisons with “third-world countries”. But corruption or alleged corruption in countries like Zimbabwe results in a chorus of indignation and calls for regime change. No one is doing that here for the simple reason that the people calling for regime change in Zimbabwe are the regime in Britain, and they don’t want to overthrow themselves.

Should we, the people, want to overthrow them? On the basis of the scenario I have outlined above there is a strong prima facie case for an orange revolution in Britain. I’m not referring here to another 1688, a coup d’etat by Anglo-Dutch finance backed by loyalist mobs. Instead, Lib Dem voters should be out in the main squares demanding a full criminal investigation into the events of last week: they should pick up where George Galloway left off . What use will PR be to them if the votes continue to be rigged? What is the use of all the votes in the world if we don’t have the rule of law?

The wider world also has to learn the truth about British democracy, a system whereby political fraud, as easy as throwing a frame of snooker, is enthroned next to financial fraud, and we are all the losers. They will then equip themselves all the better to resist the interfering, the warmongering and the malicious busybodying of a country which has yet to learn that the empire is over.

cailean bochanan
- e-mail: colonsay3@hotmail.com
- Homepage: http://inthesenewtimes.com

Comments

Hide the following 6 comments

Good article

09.05.2010 16:57

but

>>What use will PR be to them if the votes continue to be rigged?

To be fair, PR would still redress help balance the electoral system, even if fraud continued unchecked. I would imagine fraud is most effective in swinging elections hanging on the marginal constituencies of our current FPTP system.

anon


But!

09.05.2010 17:58

"Respect has a substantial dossier on the current abuse and the principal people involved in this attempted fraud. George Galloway will name these people and the Respect bus will drive to their addresses where reporters and photographers will have the opportunity to question the people Galloway has named.”

Sod that, I want to know now.

Publish it George. I want to know about possible fraud in this and other elections. Problem is I don't give a fishes left tit about the quasi Labour loyalist Respect party.

In the words of the great Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington. "Publish or fuck off you annoying little Labour-supporting turd of a person!"

p.s he didn't actually say that but I have it on very good authority that that's what he really meant!

George Follow Me.


No "coat tails"? (and political term from over here)

09.05.2010 18:35

I agree, this bears investigating BUT before that has been done answering a few questions, too soon to be claiming fraud.

Over here we have a political term "coat tails" which refers to the popularity of a person on top of the ticket aiding those associated (in his or her party) for whom the voters must actually cast their ballots. See, except in his own district, they couldn't directly vote for Clegg. Well if over here is anything to go by, sometimes there is a "coat tails" effect and sometimes there isn't and not all that easy to predict. Popularity of a leader on top doesn't always translate into popularity for a party*

So need to check out .........

1) Did these new registers (presumably enthused by Cleggs TV performance) ACTUALLY COME OUT AND VOTE? Yes we know that they registered and and yes we can presume that was becuase of the debates but no, we DON'T know if that enthusiasm lasted till election day. Needs to be checked.

2) Need to ask about "coat tails". Find out what precentage really liked Clegg BUT AT THE LOCAL LEVEL voted for representation by another party. The popularity of a leader at the top of the ticket doesn't ALWAYS translate into support for those actually standing for election*.

3) Need to do a detailed analysis of who voted and who didn't (compared to last time around). For example, my take on this is the outcome was largely anger at Labour BUT when push came to shove did traditional Labour voters respond by voting Lib Dem or did they stay home?

I think it will be a matter of weeks/months before your poli sci people will have answers. Maybe once those are in hand time to talk about "fraud", etc.

* And that's NOT just over here. Look at your own history. Say immediately afterf WW II. Was the defeat of Churchill's government because of HIS loss of popularity?

MDN


The mathematics of democracy

09.05.2010 20:39

Total Turnout was 29,653,638 People. This was up on 2005.

Conservative 10,706,647
Labour 8,604,358
Liberal Democrats 6,827,938
Others 3,514,695

In a variation of a proportional representation system the "Others" might lose their vote to the leading party. That is Others + Conservative = 14,221,342 Votes. That would not take the total aggregated votes over 51% and demonstrate the rejection of Labour and Liberal Democrats. In that sense, the Conservatives do not have a mandate to do as they will.

What the Others + Conservative calculation shows is that the Liberal Democrats are seeking power by undermining the legitimate aspirations of the opposition to Conservative Election. Nobody is suggesting this is fraud, but it is disenfranchisement.

The Liberal Democrats should, in fact, be talking to the Others to persuade them to join a voting bloc instead of disenfranchising them.

More Representative than the Liberal Democrats is a grouping of Labour + Others = 12,119,053. That grouping has a popular vote that is against the Conservatives (otherwise, they would have voted conservative). That should be an indication that the Liberal Democrats take into consideration very carefully before destroying their own party. The major fraud is not so much sudden voter registration but the size of constituencies: they are unrepresentative.

More representative again would be Labour + Liberal Democrat + Others = 18,946,991. Which shows the strength of the Antitory sentiment. Nobody wants them in power, yet, because the Liberal Democrats are pushing for forms of proportional represenation they are manipulating the first past the post system as though it were proportional. It is not. But the manipulation guarantees that the least popular party will get into power because the second least popular party is currently in power. This is a well known problem of Proportional Representation where there are more than two candidates: the first candidate is preferred to the second candidate; the second candidate is preferred to the third; the third candidate is preferred to the first. The deadlock is only broken by decisive action. Normally that decisive action is taken away from the electorate. Unfortunately for its advocates, Proportional Representation is not the magical solution that it appears to be.

A first past the post system with smaller constituencies makes the whole system less unrepresentative. In a constituency with 60,000 voters a vote is worth (approximately) 0.002% of the electorate. In a constituency with 10,000 voters a vote is worth (approximately) 0.01%. That makes voter decisions much more powerful. There is also a tendency to make every single seat a marginal. Thus politicians are obliged to work harder to secure votes. The mathematics of proportional representation means that proportional representation is "on average" as accurate as first past the post. It is that notion of "on average" that bears investigation. To be more representative, a larger number of smaller samples with a single, simple rule, can be a good deal more democratic than a small number of samples with a more complex set of rules.

The idea of the voter being powerful enough to have a box on the ballot marked "None of the above" - which would refuse election to all the candidates, send them away and demand the parties send new candidates - was already mooted (on Indymedia some years ago and on Facebook more recently). It would give the electorate a mechanism for refusing to elect parasites. This adds a single rule to first past the post: "you are not running in this race, mate."

Much of the electoral fraud remains to happen. In the future "electronic voting" will be - like the Identity Card - touted as the "solution". It is a solution to a non existent problem. The Returning Officers know how many voters there are. So facilities can be planned. The Returning Officers know the pattern of voting (more early or more late) and so facilities can be planned. There is nothing in the current situation that can not be addressed by public servants serving the public. There is no need for anything "new". There is a need for the existing to be treated with the respect and support that it has not been given.


The reduction of constituency size, the addition of the none of the above rule and the absolute refusal of any form of electronic voting would address a huge number of the supposed issues and prevent a long term systemic voter fraud being perpetrated.

None of this pretends to hide the potential for vote fraud at all. But it points to the ways in which, once again, the electorate is being blamed for problems they did not create. Problems such as the international banking profit crisis (where they have no profits to hand out to shareholders having systematically borrowed all future profits for the last decade) and the consequent "need" for public service austerity. Just as in Greece - where the problems are not the problems of the people but of the international economic system - but the solutions are quite obviously arising from the people.



One of the significant things to come out of the whole "hung parliament" situation has to be fairer voting. But fairer voting for the electorate not for the parties. There are those who refuse to vote at all. A practice undemocratically disenfranchised by the current system. Yes, not voting with direct democracy may be the desired situation. But it will never come about without a strategy of ensuring that voting does not become more of a fraud than it already is.

Henry


Fraud and PR

10.05.2010 09:20

You're quite right Anon. That was a bit rhetorical- I was just trying to point out that fraud has to be sorted out first.

But yes, first past the post heightens possibilities for fraud. Seemingly postal voting is highest in marginals. Is there any possible reason for this apart from fraud? What has whether or not you choose to vote by post got to do with the seat being a marginal? The figures I'm looking for now are the total number of postal votes and where they were cast. I don't expect to find them because this, iIbelieve would be incriminating.

colin buchanan
mail e-mail: colonsay3@!hotmail.com
- Homepage: http://inthesenewtimes


some interesting points

11.05.2010 08:49

I was a teller on the big day. Among other surprises (I havent done this before), there was a woman turning up with a ballot paper sent to her daughter (who is only 16) and others who turned up with ballot papers for one address, and letters confirming registration in another ward of the city. A little weird, and the people concerned were as confused as the polling officers presumably were...

noone


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