Stolen American Presidential Election
uscountsvotes.org | 31.03.2005 04:37 | Analysis | Globalisation | Social Struggles
I believe this is likely the most important story in several months. I am sending this to you for distribution as the story greatly impacts the whole world. Thusfar, the US has not paid much attention to it and it needs to be addressed globally. It is about a scientific study showing that the US Presidential election of 2004 was stolen. Thank you.
John Macchietto, Ph.D.
John Macchietto, Ph.D.
Scientific Analysis Suggests Presidential Vote Counts
May Have Been Altered
Study Will Be Released Tomorrow March 31st
/Group of University Professors Urges Investigation of 2004 Election/
Officially, President Bush won November's election by 2.5%, yet exit polls showed Kerry winning by 3%[1] . According to a report to be released March 31^st by a group of university statisticians, the odds of a discrepancy this large between the national exit poll and election results happening by accident are close to 1 in a million.
In other words, by random chance alone, it could not have happened. But it did.
Two alternatives remain. Either something was wrong with the exit polling, or something was wrong with the vote count.
Exit polls have a long history of exceptional accuracy in past decades in the US, in the Ukraine, in Latin America, in Germany, and elsewhere. Yet in November 2004, the discrepancy was more than five times this (and similar to that of the invalid Ukraine election.[2] )
In a recent survey of US members of the world's oldest and largest computer society, The Association for Computing Machinery, 95% opposed software driven un-auditable voting machines[3] , of the type that now count at least 30% of U.S. votes. The vast majority of today's electronic vote-counting machines are not built with basic safeguards that would prevent and detect machine or human caused errors, be they innocent or deliberate.[4]
The consortium that conducted the presidential exit polls, Edison/Mitofsky, issued a report in January suggesting that the discrepancy between election results and exit polls occurred because Bush voters were more reticent than Kerry voters in response to pollsters.
The authors of this scientific study of the National Election Data Archive Project, consider that scenario highly unlikely, based on extensive analysis of the election data presented in their report “Final Study of the 2004 Presidential Election Poll Discrepancies”. They conclude, /“The required pattern of exit poll participation by Kerry and Bush voters to satisfy the exit poll data defies empirical experience and common sense under any assumed scenario.”/
An executive summary of the report by Josh Mitteldorf of Temple University has been released today and is available at:
http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit_Polls_summary.pdf. The full 25 page scientific report will be released tomorrow. This group's preliminary study on the exit poll discrepancies was not refuted by any PhD statistician in America, and we expect our final study to be similarly received in the academic community.
Amidst the data, many extremely unlikely anomalies exist, invariably in President Bush’s favor. For one, a state-by-state analysis of the discrepancy between exit polls and official election results shows highly improbable skewing of the election results biased towards the president.
We have had election fraud in this country before. November's wildly inaccurate presidential exit polls should warrant concern of the highest order by every American citizen.
The report acknowledges that the possibility of fraud in our vote counting system is the most serious issue any democracy can face. If there is any chance that vote counts have been electronically manipulated, it is imperative that the people of the United States know the truth.
The report concludes, “/We believe that the absence of any statistically-plausible explanation for the discrepancy between Edison/Mitofsky’s exit poll data and the official presidential vote tally is an unanswered question of vital national importance that needs thorough investigation./”
US Count Votes is seeking financial support for its "National Election Data Archive" project in order to collect detailed election data and, prior to November 2006, to develop statistical methods to audit elections results data and provide statistical evidence of vote tabulation errors immediately following any US election.
*Contributors and Supporters of the Report include:*
*Josh Mitteldorf*, PhD - Temple University Statistics Department
*Steven F. Freeman*, PhD - Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
*Brian Joiner*, PhD - Prof. of Statistics (ret) University of Wisconsin
*Frank Stenger*, PhD - Professor, School of Computing, University of Utah
*Richard G. Sheehan*, PhD -Professor, Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
*Paul F. Velleman*, PhD - Associate Prof., Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
*Victoria Lovegren*, PhD - Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
*Campbell** B. Read*, PhD - Prof. Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
*Jonathan Simon*, J.D., National Ballot Integrity Project
*Ron Paul Baiman, *PhD* *– Institute of Government and Public Affairs, University of Illinois at Chicago
*About US Count Votes*
US Count Votes is a Utah non-profit corporation. It is the sponsor of the National Election Data Archive project and of research to scientifically analyze the accuracy of vote counting in the United States. Its goal is to provide nationwide, impartial statistical auditing services to help ensure the accuracy of future elections.
For further information: contact Bruce O’Dell, Vice President, US Count Votes
Email:
bruce@uscountvotes.org
612-309-1330
or visit www.electionarchive.org
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] "Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004" prepared by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for the National Election Pool (NEP) Jan. 19, 2005
[2] In the November 21 runoff, Ukraine's official vote count had Prime Minister Yanukovych the winner by 2.7%. Two exit polls showed him losing by 8% and 2%, respectively. Thus, the discrepancy was between 10.7% and 4.7%. In the US, the discrepancy was between 6.5% and 5.5%. See http://www.templetonthorp.com/ru/news808 and http://www.indybay.org/archives/archive_by_id.php?id=2669&category_id=44.
[3] www.acm.org/usacm/weblog/index.php?p=73
[4] http://uscountvotes.net/voting_machines/Best_Practices_US.pdf
May Have Been Altered
Study Will Be Released Tomorrow March 31st
/Group of University Professors Urges Investigation of 2004 Election/
Officially, President Bush won November's election by 2.5%, yet exit polls showed Kerry winning by 3%[1] . According to a report to be released March 31^st by a group of university statisticians, the odds of a discrepancy this large between the national exit poll and election results happening by accident are close to 1 in a million.
In other words, by random chance alone, it could not have happened. But it did.
Two alternatives remain. Either something was wrong with the exit polling, or something was wrong with the vote count.
Exit polls have a long history of exceptional accuracy in past decades in the US, in the Ukraine, in Latin America, in Germany, and elsewhere. Yet in November 2004, the discrepancy was more than five times this (and similar to that of the invalid Ukraine election.[2] )
In a recent survey of US members of the world's oldest and largest computer society, The Association for Computing Machinery, 95% opposed software driven un-auditable voting machines[3] , of the type that now count at least 30% of U.S. votes. The vast majority of today's electronic vote-counting machines are not built with basic safeguards that would prevent and detect machine or human caused errors, be they innocent or deliberate.[4]
The consortium that conducted the presidential exit polls, Edison/Mitofsky, issued a report in January suggesting that the discrepancy between election results and exit polls occurred because Bush voters were more reticent than Kerry voters in response to pollsters.
The authors of this scientific study of the National Election Data Archive Project, consider that scenario highly unlikely, based on extensive analysis of the election data presented in their report “Final Study of the 2004 Presidential Election Poll Discrepancies”. They conclude, /“The required pattern of exit poll participation by Kerry and Bush voters to satisfy the exit poll data defies empirical experience and common sense under any assumed scenario.”/
An executive summary of the report by Josh Mitteldorf of Temple University has been released today and is available at:
http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit_Polls_summary.pdf. The full 25 page scientific report will be released tomorrow. This group's preliminary study on the exit poll discrepancies was not refuted by any PhD statistician in America, and we expect our final study to be similarly received in the academic community. Amidst the data, many extremely unlikely anomalies exist, invariably in President Bush’s favor. For one, a state-by-state analysis of the discrepancy between exit polls and official election results shows highly improbable skewing of the election results biased towards the president.
We have had election fraud in this country before. November's wildly inaccurate presidential exit polls should warrant concern of the highest order by every American citizen.
The report acknowledges that the possibility of fraud in our vote counting system is the most serious issue any democracy can face. If there is any chance that vote counts have been electronically manipulated, it is imperative that the people of the United States know the truth.
The report concludes, “/We believe that the absence of any statistically-plausible explanation for the discrepancy between Edison/Mitofsky’s exit poll data and the official presidential vote tally is an unanswered question of vital national importance that needs thorough investigation./”
US Count Votes is seeking financial support for its "National Election Data Archive" project in order to collect detailed election data and, prior to November 2006, to develop statistical methods to audit elections results data and provide statistical evidence of vote tabulation errors immediately following any US election.
*Contributors and Supporters of the Report include:*
*Josh Mitteldorf*, PhD - Temple University Statistics Department
*Steven F. Freeman*, PhD - Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
*Brian Joiner*, PhD - Prof. of Statistics (ret) University of Wisconsin
*Frank Stenger*, PhD - Professor, School of Computing, University of Utah
*Richard G. Sheehan*, PhD -Professor, Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
*Paul F. Velleman*, PhD - Associate Prof., Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
*Victoria Lovegren*, PhD - Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
*Campbell** B. Read*, PhD - Prof. Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
*Jonathan Simon*, J.D., National Ballot Integrity Project
*Ron Paul Baiman, *PhD* *– Institute of Government and Public Affairs, University of Illinois at Chicago
*About US Count Votes*
US Count Votes is a Utah non-profit corporation. It is the sponsor of the National Election Data Archive project and of research to scientifically analyze the accuracy of vote counting in the United States. Its goal is to provide nationwide, impartial statistical auditing services to help ensure the accuracy of future elections.
For further information: contact Bruce O’Dell, Vice President, US Count Votes
Email:
bruce@uscountvotes.org 612-309-1330
or visit www.electionarchive.org
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] "Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004" prepared by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for the National Election Pool (NEP) Jan. 19, 2005
[2] In the November 21 runoff, Ukraine's official vote count had Prime Minister Yanukovych the winner by 2.7%. Two exit polls showed him losing by 8% and 2%, respectively. Thus, the discrepancy was between 10.7% and 4.7%. In the US, the discrepancy was between 6.5% and 5.5%. See
http://www.templetonthorp.com/ru/news808 and http://www.indybay.org/archives/archive_by_id.php?id=2669&category_id=44. [3] www.acm.org/usacm/weblog/index.php?p=73
[4]
http://uscountvotes.net/voting_machines/Best_Practices_US.pdf
uscountsvotes.org
e-mail:
john2@airmail.net
Comments
Hide the following 3 comments
Get over it
31.03.2005 08:43
Move on
US Citizen
COnspiracies are so Middle Class-Tahnk God for Bush
31.03.2005 19:08
Almoist no one in the US has anything except a middle class consciousness - forget america people
Few real debates about important issues take place. At this point, with people rising up without leadership or direction, we think that debate on ideology is irrelevant in that all attention should be towards strategies of building power to thwart US designs and to fight back.
TO Purpose or Not
If you care about or are focused on the short term:
1. Raise dollars for revolutionary groups in the Andes.
2. Encourage people working on fundraising to move to Oregon, Washington or Vermont to help take over the government there and thus raise taxes to give to the Andes.
3. (see C.3.)
If your focus is the medium-term time frame (2 to 8 years) you think that the first two ideas presented will not work:
1. Finish your petroleum engineering or alternative economics degree and get some of your friends and classmates to move to Venezuela or the Bolivarian Republic of Ecuador.
2. Raise dollars for the Andes and get p[people to move to Oregon, Washington or Vermont.
3. See C.3.)
If you foolishly believe that there will be a long-term (10 to 15 years) without millions of people doing all of the above then:
1. Join the debate on designing the Green Socialism for the XXI Century – the program that Latin America needs (soon) in order to complete the transition from capitalist neo-slavery and marginality to a full human and social potential.
2. Cry and curse your fears for spending so much time doubting and studying your eco-economics when you could have done all of the above and saved the world or a hemisphere.
3. Join the FARC guerrillas of Colombia if they have not been exterminated along with the 20-30,000 people that the US policies and drug abuse kill each year in honor of the Cross of Globalization and hypocritical drug wars.
The OVER Lord's Dare:
He maketh me to lie down on park benches,
he leadeth me beside the still factories.
He restoreth my doubts about the Republican Party.
He leadeth me onto the paths of unemployment for his cronies' sake.
Yea, though no weapons of mass destruction have been found,
He makest me continue to fear Evil.
His tax cuts for the rich and his deficit spending discomfortme.
He anointest me with never-ending debt;
Verily my days of savings and assets are kaput.
Surely poverty and hard living shall follow me all the days of his administration,
And my jobless child shall dwell in my basement forever.
But to Protest Bush - just like this little ditty above - is to miss the point of everything - Go ahead and protest Bush as long as you are protesting all americans - or for sure the 56 percent who still think Saddam had WMDs and helped do 911 - or the majority of americans who think iraqis are better of now than 3 years ago - even the dead I presume - !
Protest all that you want as long as you admit it is only selfish - to feel good - to bask in the doing of something -
However if you really want to fight Bush - give money to the Andes - in fact everything else that you can do is evil...
Protest all you want )or can stomach) just admit it is selfish "feel-good" basking in the doing of something.
Want to fight Bush (few really do)? Give to the Andes
A Morning Media Ritual To Chant – Death to US of Amnesia
(and post everywhere continuously – indymedia, foreign news – forums etc... keep it up till it is everywhere -- )
~ DON'T FORGET the Forgotten Prisoners of the US of Amnesia:
300,00 Africans, 250,000 Hispanics and 500,000 others domestically; 10,000 Iraqis, 5000 in Israel, and 1000s held secretly in the torture chambers of Guantanamo, Morocco, Egypt, Pakistan and the kennels of the Saudi apostate dogs.
… Oh and there are over 100,000 children held in US prisons too (
DON"T FORGET the Forgotten Crimes of the US of Amnesia:
Wounded Knee, Hiroshima, Global Warming, Vietnam, Cambodia, Guatemala, Cuba, Chile, Iraq, Nicaragua, Colombia, Palestine, Nepal and Venezuela; The free market of US of Amnesia Death Squads, the CIA of espionage and assassination.
… Oh and the US drones, satellites and sensors that spy on the whole world, all of the time and more each year…
DON'T FORGET the Forgotten Diseases of Capitalism eating at the US of Amnesia: spiraling greed as religion, drug abuse, obesity, insanity, pervert priests, George Bush and an inability of the US to participate in the world: the World Court, the International Criminal Court, Kyoto Treaty, Convenetions on Women, Children, Racism and Weapons.
DON'T FORGET THE FORGOTTEN DUTIES OF ALL OF US WHO WANT TO WAKE UP FROM OUR OWN AMNESIA:
Pull the plug on USA predatory corporations and those of their capitalist friends – especially France, UK and Italy. Drive them out of all regions. Defeat Imperialism with realism – A Clean Slate for Rebuilding the World.
Dump the Dirty Dollar (even people in the US can hold Euros or gold).
… Oh, and don’t forget that help to the world never has and never will come from within the US where activism never really existed and is now worse than dead – a zombie more deadly than if it had never been born, selfish, confused and lost… rejecting and yet craving morality and truth.
Jason Milieu
"Unity against the great enemy of mankind:the United States of America"
31.03.2005 22:40
Wherever death may surprise us , let it be welcome , provided that this , our battle cry , may have reached some receptive ear , that another hand may be extended to wield our weapons , and that other men be ready to intone our funeral dirge with the staccato singing of the machine guns and new battle cries of war and victory".
El Commandante Ernesto Che Guevara (1967)
"Bring it on"
"We'll smoke'em out"
Commander in Chief George W Bush (2005)
Wayne Elliot